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mustangsally

The Walden Galleria is an automobile-oriented, regional shopping mall located in Cheektowaga, a suburb of Buffalo, New York located east of Interstate 90 and New York State Thruway Exit 52 off Walden Avenue. The Walden Galleria comprises more than 1,600,000 square feet (150,000 m 2) of retail space, with 190 stores on two levels, including a food court and a movie theater. The clock at the corner of Fifth and Smithfield was a meeting place for friends (“Meet me under the Kaufmann’s clock”) and enemies (“Kiss my ass under the Kaufmann’s clock”). The store was founded by a pair of brothers, Jacob and Isaac Kaufmann, as a menswear and tailoring store on Carson Street, on Pittsburgh’s South Side, in 1871. Kaufmann'swas adepartment storethat originated inPittsburgh,Pennsylvania. It was owned in the early 20th century byEdgar J. Kaufmann, patron of 'Fallingwater'. In thepost-waryears, the store became a regional chain in theeastern United States, and was last owned byFederated Department Stores. At the height of its existence, it had some 59 stores in 5 states. Formerly part ofMay Department. Kaufmann'swas adepartment storethat originated inPittsburgh,Pennsylvania. It was owned in the early 20th century byEdgar J. Kaufmann, patron of 'Fallingwater'. In thepost-waryears, the store became a regional chain in theeastern United States, and was last owned byFederated Department Stores. At the height of its existence, it had some 59 stores in 5 states. Formerly part ofMay Department. Casino Pittsburgh gaming and entertainment complex in the former Bon-Ton building. The facility is expected to open in November 2020. Pittsburgh-based retailer Kaufmann's never had a presence in Westmoreland County until the mall's opening in 1977.

an introduction
Al 'The Professor' Kaufman
'I'm the best (gambler) there is'
'I have what everybody wants. How to win in the casinos'

also: stop losing at the casinos

The Gambling Professor

The Gambling Professor from
http://www.thegamblingprofessor.com/

Now from the video collection on YouTube (yeah! now has transcriptions) Kaufmanns Casino Wiki

Blackjack system

Q: what are the odds of him sitting down (at a Blackjack table)
the first second he gets there losing 8 in a row? Kaufmanns casino wikifeet

Answer Al: It's virtually impossible.
Professor Al also says this:
11:05
Now remember it's possible to lose 8 hands in a row
it doesn't happen that often
But you have to be there when it happens
and remember we are cutting down the odds
because it has to happen the second you get to the table
Question #1: agree with The Professor?
Question #2: what are the odds of him sitting down (at a Blackjack table)
the first second he gets there losing 8 (bets) in a row?
and are they different playing at one table or over ten tables?

I like this one. I get about 1 in 161 tables. 1 / 0.53^8
so we win about $12 (high) on average per table 160 times and lose $2380 one time.
$1920 + (-$2380) = a net loss on average
will comps make up for this? Comps playing an average 2.07 hands per table?
what casino now?
if our average win per table increases to $15, that = a profit of $2400 ($15*160)
about equals our expected (average) one loss at $2380.
Now to get a $15 average win, means we have to bet more and deviate from the Professor's unit betting chart.
I think The Professor needs to go back to the drawing (white) board
Looking at the binomial probability distribution will help out.
The chance of NO tables losing 8 in a row in 161 tables played = 36.5856%
The chance of just ONE table losing 8 in a row in 161 tables played = 36.9025%
Wow! see that. the same!
but they do not add up to 100%.
The chance of TWO or MORE tables losing 8 in a row in 161 tables is 26.5119%
better than 1 in 4
The Professor's method IS gambling!

more (that do not want to watch the video)
0:24
'Hi
I'm Al 'The Gambling Professor'
I reside here in Las Vegas because I gamble for a living.
I'm probably the best there is.
and I'm going to make you a winner in the casino today
IF you listen to my rules.'
He is a Method Gambler.
From the video:
'We are looking to earn money.
you need horrific bad luck to lose'
2:44 has the BJ Basic Strategy chart
BJ bankroll $2380
starting bet $5
goal is to win 1 hand, before losing 8 in a row,
10 times for about $100 earned winnings.
after the first win, move on to another table.
No splitting, never double downs.
Play 10 tables you stop
repeat this 5 times a day
Progression after each loss go to the next level.
on a win start back at $5
5,15,35,75,150,300,600,1200
works for Craps too!
19:00
but what are the odds of him sitting down
the first second he gets there losing 8 in a row?
It's virtually impossible.
at 20:40
Dealer misplays his hand.
a J showing. did not peek for an Ace and hit players hand with a 9
That 9 belongs in the very next hand.
That next hand would have pushed instead of a win.
22:10
'Most of the time you are going to win between the 2nd and 3rd hand.'
Sally says
This statement is also an error. Everyone should know the player wins about 47% of the hands (not counting pushes)
right after the last win. (the relative frequency from a frequency table)

To win on the 2nd or 3rd hand is only about 38% chance
It is about 72% of hands won happen on the 1st and the 2nd hand played
in the video, 15 hands did just that for a 75% hit rate.
Just watching the two tables played in the video, the player won 12 out of 20 hands on the very first hand, that is 60% for this small sample size.
Back to Al
'This is a piece of cake.
You can make a living.
You can make $500 a day with a $2380 bankroll'
Looks like The Professor shows no math but speaks of it and his experiences gambling.
Question #3: Is it time for the Wizard to meet The Professor?
Sally
Questions are again
Question #1: agree with The Professor?
Question #2: what are the odds of him sitting down (at a Blackjack table)
the first second he gets there losing 8 (bets) in a row?
Question #3: Is it time for the Wizard to meet The Professor?

AcesAndEights

Questions are again
Question #1: agree with The Professor?
Question #2: what are the odds of him sitting down (at a Blackjack table)
the first second he gets there losing 8 (bets) in a row?
Question #3: Is it time for the Wizard to meet The Professor?

I don't know the answer to #2, but the answer to #1 is hell no, and #3 would be hilarious but not worth the Wizard's time.
Bonus Question #4: is this guy just another asshat systems seller who happens to look more professional?
DING DING DING

'So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust.' -ontariodealer

Tomspur

What tickles my pickle is (if the background is found to be authentic) he films inside a convention space of some or the other casino.
Did he get permission to film such a spot inside a casino? What casino would give a charletan such as this the opportunity to sell his wares using a casino facility?
Why does he not quote the actual math involved? If someone asks you what the odds are of losing 8 hands in a row, should you not be able to present that in a factual way for everyone to understand?
I must admit I didn't watch the video and I have absolutely NO intention of doing so either. This dude is high off his ass is my final summation.
Thanks

“There is something about the outside of a horse that is good for the inside of a man.” - Winston Churchill

Ibeatyouraces

deleted

kewlj

Do we even know if this fella is still living? The video appears quite old. Cars were driving down Fremont Street between The Fremont, The Mint And Golden Nugget. Before my time in Vegas, but Wikipedia says the Mint closed in 88, about the time I was heading off to kindergarden. :-)

Perdition

He put this up